field — hub 8787

Field deck mix · frontier pulse · pin

Precomputed digests under field/daily/ from the existing episode pull archive (no re-download). Refresh by running python3 field/scripts/frontier_report.py or the post-pull hook.

2026-08-30 4650 episodes · 208 teams min avg_score 1032.4 · built 2026-09-14T10:34:39

day

focus share (all)

0.0%

primary focus deck · top slice

focus → top 10%

0.0%

stratum declaration share

pilot spread

—

max−min on modal focus

top-5 deck mass

35.2%

HHI~ 0.134

within-deck var

30.7%

observational upper bound on pilot

deck mix · selected day

Dragapult ex — Hammer Control

12.6%

b86657f88c03

9.5%

Mega Kangaskhan / Slowking — Academy

5.5%

Mega Lopunny / Mega Froslass — Hand Trimmer

4.9%

Alakazam — Enhanced Hammer

2.8%

8353843e80ff

2.7%

0a67ba3cdd59

2.5%

de963385fd3d

2.2%

614a537be880

2.2%

f87e08d6c462

2.0%

acbe04c8ffb6

2.0%

Alakazam — Battle Cage Variant

2.0%

trends (precomputed days)

focus share (all)

top-5 mass

pilot spread (pts)

focus deck declaration share all→top10%: 0.0 → 0.0; pilot spread (modal focus) max−min ≈ None; within-deck var share (all) ≈ 0.3069. Observational + top-slice only; not a causal split.

Focus decks · declaration share + pilot spread

deck	share all	top10%	modal teams	min / med / max	spread
pool14	0.0%	0.0%	0	— / — / —	—
pool11	—	—	0	— / — / —	—

Top teams (assigned latest rating · day)

#	team	rating	n	modal deck
1	Luca	1339.4	136	917977559267
2	Unown Gradiant	1267.2	197	b86657f88c03
3	LumenLiquidity	1256.3	181	dc058243e56f
4	flg	1218.2	186	acbe04c8ffb6
5	Azat Akhtyаmоv	1217.2	182	Dragapult ex — Hammer Control
6	Petit Canard	1209.8	203	de963385fd3d
7	KawattaTaido	1203.2	179	b246db998d2f
8	やる気元気ミワハルキ	1203.2	187	0a67ba3cdd59
9	Klein Houmani	1190.9	142	20d5f5fcc447
10	Preferred 213tubo	1182.5	190	Mega Kangaskhan / Slowking — Academy

History table

day	teams	top1	top5	focus all	focus top10	spread	within
2026-08-30	208	12.6%	35.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.307
2026-08-29	217	12.2%	34.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.264
2026-08-28	208	12.5%	35.3%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.271
2026-08-27	205	13.5%	37.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.298
2026-08-26	208	13.7%	37.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.258
2026-08-25	193	13.9%	36.6%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.273
2026-08-24	200	13.8%	34.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.264
2026-08-23	202	13.8%	35.1%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.294
2026-08-22	190	13.1%	35.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.292
2026-08-21	200	12.5%	35.3%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.330
2026-08-20	205	12.7%	36.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.343
2026-08-19	432	13.3%	44.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.309
2026-08-18	591	14.6%	48.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.335
2026-08-17	147	11.2%	31.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.306
2026-08-16	408	15.8%	43.1%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.459
2026-08-15	341	16.0%	44.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.414
2026-08-14	374	15.2%	53.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.523
2026-08-13	370	15.1%	48.5%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.536
2026-08-12	394	18.6%	54.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.521
2026-08-11	377	18.9%	54.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.561
2026-08-10	381	24.3%	55.7%	24.3%	14.1%	272.1	0.569
2026-08-09	399	23.8%	53.8%	23.8%	13.8%	222.9	0.603
2026-08-08	353	26.2%	57.2%	26.2%	16.5%	292.3	0.535
2026-08-07	353	26.7%	59.7%	26.7%	11.3%	290.0	0.555
2026-08-06	370	29.0%	55.6%	29.0%	24.2%	281.4	0.613
2026-08-05	329	25.5%	53.6%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.581
2026-08-04	316	26.4%	56.1%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.582
2026-08-03	314	31.8%	53.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.544
2026-08-02	220	36.0%	57.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.562
2026-08-01	183	40.5%	63.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.737
2026-07-31	169	51.0%	69.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.596
2026-07-30	181	51.6%	71.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.656
2026-07-29	181	51.6%	73.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.599
2026-07-28	189	48.9%	72.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.547
2026-07-27	136	43.7%	71.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.667
2026-07-26	172	34.9%	74.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.542
2026-07-25	143	30.3%	73.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.684
2026-07-24	140	38.9%	76.5%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.687
2026-07-23	155	29.8%	68.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.529
2026-07-22	142	22.6%	63.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.516
2026-07-21	112	22.3%	63.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.531
2026-07-20	123	30.3%	69.3%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.562
2026-07-19	116	27.0%	63.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.480
2026-07-18	100	25.7%	63.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.479
2026-07-17	79	33.4%	64.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.399
2026-07-16	125	22.6%	50.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.482
2026-07-15	104	15.2%	46.3%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.274
2026-07-14	117	16.9%	55.1%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.497
2026-07-13	137	16.1%	51.4%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.454
2026-07-12	151	16.3%	43.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.498
2026-07-11	198	17.8%	44.3%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.244
2026-07-10	180	20.6%	45.6%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.229
2026-07-09	144	12.4%	40.2%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.475
2026-07-08	172	13.9%	32.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.373
2026-07-07	192	12.6%	36.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.297
2026-07-06	199	11.7%	42.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.368
2026-07-05	216	15.0%	38.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.463
2026-07-04	156	18.4%	42.9%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.214
2026-07-03	173	11.1%	32.8%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.318
2026-07-02	136	11.6%	36.7%	0.0%	0.0%	—	0.318

Pinned eval condition · era2-pool-v1

era2-pool-v1 · pinned 2026-07-28T20:37:08+00:00
top-band-only pull (min_score ~880-985)

rank	id	family	raw share	renorm w
1	pool14	F1	43.7%	0.6445
2	pool11	F0	11.4%	0.1676
3	unpooled-rank3	F1	8.0%	0.1178
4	unpooled-rank4	F20	4.8%	0.0701

Multi-day report (LATEST_FRONTIER)

# Frontier report 2026-08-29 … 2026-08-30

True as of analysis run. Episodes reused from existing pull dirs (no re-download).

- **slugs:** pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-episodes-2026-08-30, pokemon-tcg-ai-battle-episodes-2026-08-29
- **episodes used:** 9226 (files=9226, unreadable=0, no_manifest=0)
- **teams in slice:** 266
- **min avg_score in corpus:** 1030.636
- **score assignment:** iter=7 converged=True

## Directional takeaway

focus deck declaration share all→top10%: 0.0 → 0.0; pilot spread (modal focus) max−min ≈ None; within-deck var share (all) ≈ 0.2547. Observational + top-slice only; not a causal split.

## Caveats

- Daily episode dumps are a top slice of the ladder (filter by min avg_score in corpus ≈ 1030.636); 'all_teams' = teams appearing in that slice, not the full public leaderboard.
- Deck choice is endogenous to team skill; pilot == team identity.

## Top 10 teams (assigned latest rating)

| rank | team | rating | n_eps | modal deck |
|---:|---|---:|---:|---|
| 1 | Luca | 1339.39 | 286 | 917977559267 |
| 2 | Unown Gradiant | 1267.15 | 380 | b86657f88c03 |
| 3 | LumenLiquidity | 1256.33 | 358 | dc058243e56f |
| 4 | flg | 1218.15 | 375 | acbe04c8ffb6 |
| 5 | Azat Akhtyаmоv | 1217.2 | 363 | Dragapult ex — Hammer Control |
| 6 | Petit Canard | 1209.84 | 392 | de963385fd3d |
| 7 | KawattaTaido | 1203.24 | 365 | 2858c9159a06 |
| 8 | やる気元気ミワハルキ | 1203.16 | 359 | 0a67ba3cdd59 |
| 9 | Klein Houmani | 1190.93 | 293 | 20d5f5fcc447 |
| 10 | Preferred 213tubo | 1182.45 | 374 | Mega Kangaskhan / Slowking — Academy |

## Focus deck share by rating stratum

| stratum | n_teams | focus_share | modal_focus_teams | top deck |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|
| all_teams | 266 | 0.0 | 0 | Dragapult ex — Hammer Control (0.1236) |
| top_25pct_teams | 66 | 0.0 | 0 | Dragapult ex — Hammer Control (0.134) |
| top_10pct_teams | 27 | 0.0 | 0 | Dragapult ex — Hammer Control (0.1078) |
| top_5_teams | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | acbe04c8ffb6 (0.2128) |

## Pilot spread on focus decks (modal deck)

- **pool14:** no teams
- **pool11:** no teams

## Variance (modal-deck groups)

- **all_teams:** within_share=0.2547 between_share=0.7453 (n=266, deck groups=106)
- **top_25pct_teams:** within_share=0.3495 between_share=0.6505 (n=66, deck groups=41)
- **top_10pct_teams:** within_share=0.1832 between_share=0.8168 (n=27, deck groups=23)

_confound: pilot and team identity fully confounded; within-deck variance mixes pilot quality, multi-submission blur, and assignment noise — not causal_